What’s Moving Markets: From Tesla Woes to Sector Winners

Tuesday, July 01, 2025


​As the second half of 2025 begins, investors are sifting through a packed lineup of earnings updates, sector performance rankings, and headline names—each setting the stage for the next market moves.

Constellation Brands Steps Up
All eyes are on Constellation Brands, the parent company behind Corona and Modelo, which reports Tuesday. The stock has lost 11.5% in the last three months and dropped 8.7% in June alone. Since peaking last July, shares are down a total of 38%, and investors will be watching to see whether a turnaround is brewing.

Index Check-In: New Highs and Laggards
It’s been a bullish year for the big names:
-Nasdaq 100: +7.9%, record high.
-NYSE Composite: +7%, also at a record.
-S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite: +5.5% each.
-Dow Jones: +3.6%, still 2% below December highs.
-Russell 2000 (small caps): Down 2.3%, about 12% off the November peak.

Sector Scorecard: Industrials Lead the Way
Here’s how sectors stack up so far this year:
-Industrials: +12%, record high.
-Communication Services: +10.6%, record high.
-Financials: +8.4%, record high.
-Utilities & Tech: Both up ~8%.
-Consumer Discretionary: -4%, worst of the bunch.

Tech continues to hit new highs, while energy and health care are dragging, down 12% and 2%, respectively.

Top Stock Performers (and Flops)
Palantir leads the S&P 500 with an 80% gain year-to-date.
-NRG Energy: +78%
-Howmet Aerospace: +70%

Worst performers include Deckers Outdoor, Enphase, and UnitedHealth, all down around 40%.

Analysts’ Favorite Picks for 2025
-Amazon: Named “top pick” by 10 analysts, despite being down 9.5% from its February high.
-Nvidia: The second most recommended name, up 17% YTD.
-Meta Platforms: +26% YTD, also hit a new high Monday.

Auto Stocks: Ford Out in Front
In the auto sector:
-Ford: +10% YTD
-Hyundai: +8%
-Honda: +1%
-Toyota and GM: Down 11% and 8%, respectively
-Stellantis: Down 23%, off 55% from last July’s high.

Tesla Turns 15, But Slides
Monday marked the 15-year anniversary of Tesla’s IPO (celebrated Monday due to the weekend). But the party’s a bit muted—Tesla is down 21% in 2025, and 35% off its December peak. Still, a hypothetical $10,000 IPO investment in 2010 would now be worth $2.8 million.

Bottom line: With fresh earnings on tap and tech stocks leading the charge, the market may continue its run—though lagging sectors and weak performers like Tesla remind us that not all boats are rising just yet. Keep an eye on Constellation and sector momentum as key signals for the week ahead.