


Wednesday, June 04, 2025


U.S. Treasury yields held relatively flat on Wednesday as markets absorbed the impact of President Trump’s new 50% tariff on steel imports, which officially went into effect that morning. Despite the potential inflationary implications, bond markets showed minimal immediate reaction.
At last check, the 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.451%, the 2-year yield held near 3.951%, and the 30-year yield dipped slightly to 4.974%.
Trump’s tariff, which doubles the previous 25% duty, was announced as part of his broader effort to “secure the U.S. steel industry.” The White House says the move will support domestic production, but analysts warn it could raise input costs across sectors that rely on steel—from construction to autos.
Meanwhile, investors are closely watching developments in U.S.–China trade talks, after both sides accused each other of violating the terms of a recent 90-day tariff truce. Trump called Chinese President Xi Jinping “extremely hard to make a deal with,” even as the two are expected to speak this week.
Looking ahead, markets are eyeing a slate of labor market data—including ADP payrolls, jobless claims, and Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report—for signs of how resilient the U.S. economy remains amid trade friction and rising input costs.
Bottom line: Trump’s tariff hike hasn’t rattled the bond market—yet. But with trade tensions escalating and key economic data on deck, investors are bracing for a potentially volatile stretch ahead.
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