Oil Shock and Inflation Data Set the Stage for Market Moves

Friday, March 13, 2026


​Inflation Report Takes Center Stage
Investors are bracing for a crucial inflation reading that could shape market sentiment heading into the next trading session. The Personal Consumption Expenditures index, one of the most closely watched gauges of inflation, is expected to show prices rising about zero point three percent month over month and roughly two point nine percent from a year earlier. The data could provide fresh clues about how persistent inflation remains and whether policymakers may keep interest rates elevated for longer.

Economic Growth Also in Focus
Alongside the inflation report, markets will also digest the latest revision of fourth-quarter economic growth. Economists expect gross domestic product to show an annualized expansion of around one point five percent. The update could offer insight into how resilient the economy remains as rising energy prices and geopolitical tensions begin to weigh on global markets.

Energy Stocks Ride the Oil Surge
Energy companies have been among the biggest beneficiaries of the recent jump in crude prices. Brent crude has climbed sharply since the conflict in the Middle East escalated, lifting shares of major oil producers and refiners. Companies such as Chevron, Marathon Petroleum, Phillips 66, Valero, and Devon Energy have all pushed to fresh highs as investors rotate into the sector.

Defensive Sectors Gain Momentum
Other defensive corners of the market are also drawing attention. Grocery giant Kroger has rallied strongly this year and recently reached a new high, while agricultural processor Archer-Daniels-Midland has also climbed as investors look for companies tied to food supply and commodities. Utilities have joined the move as well, with Duke Energy hitting record levels while the broader utilities sector posts solid gains for the year.

Cybersecurity Back in the Spotlight
​Cybersecurity firms are gaining renewed attention as geopolitical tensions raise the risk of digital attacks. Companies specializing in digital defense are being closely watched as investors consider the possibility of increased cyber threats tied to global conflict. The broader cybersecurity industry has also seen renewed investor interest, reflecting the growing role digital defense plays during periods of geopolitical instability.